Mesoscale model forecast verification during monsoon 2008
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
BPN model for long-range forecast of monsoon rainfall over a very small geographical region and its verification for 2012
New operational long range forecasting model of India meteorological Department (ImD) is statistical in nature, which has many inherent limitations. The correlation between monsoon rainfall and its predictors can never be perfect. It may suffer epochal changes and there may be a cross correlations among predictors. It is almost impossible to identify appropriate predictors of monsoon rainfall o...
متن کاملThe Continuous Ranked Probability Score for Circular Variables and its Application to Mesoscale Forecast Ensemble Verification
An analogue of the linear continuous ranked probability score is introduced that applies to probabilistic forecasts of circular quantities. This scoring rule is proper and thereby discourages hedging. The circular continuous ranked probability score reduces to angular distance when the forecast is deterministic, just as the linear continuous ranked probability score generalizes the absolute err...
متن کاملProbabilistic forecast verification
Introduction Conclusions References Tables Figures Back Close Full Screen / Esc Papers published in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions are under open-access review for the journal Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Abstract Introduction Conclusions References Tables Figures Back Close Full Screen / Esc Abstract In the present paper we describe some methods for verifying and evalua...
متن کاملImage Warping for Forecast Verification
Complete details for the approach outlined here are given in Lindström et al. (In Prep). The main idea of the approach is to apply image warping to the forecast field to make traditional verification comparisons of the raw fields, the fields after having applied an affine transformation to the forecast field, and finally to the fields after having additionally applied a nonlinear transformation...
متن کاملWavelets and Field Forecast Verification
Current field forecast verification measures are inadequate, primarily because they compress the comparison between two complex spatial field processes into one number. Discrete wavelet transforms (DWTs) applied to analysis and contemporaneous forecast fields prove to be an insightful approach to verification problems. DWTs allow both filtering and compact physically interpretable partitioning ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Earth System Science
سال: 2010
ISSN: 0253-4126,0973-774X
DOI: 10.1007/s12040-010-0030-9